I'm not on TikTok. Yeah, maybe that's an admission I'm a little old, but mostly it's because TikTok is also largely garbage content (with a heaping side of Chinese communist propaganda). But it is popular among a certain demographic so it's also not a surprise that political campaigns hoping to reach that demographic use the social media app.
I see a lot of people on our side fretting over the upcoming election. And rightly so. A Kamala Harris-Tim Walz administration is the stuff commies dream of: gun bans, no red meat, banning fracking, outrageous tax rates, price controls.
It'll make the Biden years look prosperous by comparison.
But it is still my belief that Kamala's supposed surge in momentum -- and her polls -- are all smoke and mirrors.
When I learned some TikTok influencers (gah, I can't believe that's a career option these days) had to be paid $10k to post at the DNC, it just reaffirms my position:
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TikTok influencer Bryce Hall just posted that each of the influencers in the below video were paid 10K to post at the DNC.
— AG (@AGHamilton29) August 28, 2024
Seems like a questionable investment. pic.twitter.com/7MzmUkI3gW
There is nothing organic or authentic about this campaign.
Nothing.
Including the polls.
It's easy to look at polls that say, nationally, Kamala is up by 1-3 points. But the reality is this:
National polls don't matter. They often oversample Democrats and we don't elect a president based on the national popular vote.
Democratic strategists James Carville and Julian Epstein both said in separate articles that the polls should actually worry Democrats. Here's what Carville said:
“I challenge Democrats with some caution here. First of all, most want to say we have to win by three in the popular vote to win the Electoral College. So when you see a poll that says we two up, well, that’s actually, you’re one down, if the poll is correct,” he said in an interview on Real Time With Bill Maher.
As much as the Left likes to b**tch about the Electoral College -- and I've been seeing a lot of that on X in recent days -- it's the law of the land. And, right now, the Electoral College map looks a lot like it did in 2016.
Which is what Epstein basically said:
"If the polling errors are anywhere close to what they were in 2016 and 2020, then Trump is in the lead right now," Democrat strategist Julian Epstein told Fox News Digital.
Kamala's campaign saying she's still in favor of a fracking ban, as they did today, will likely tip PA in Trump's favor.
And this is before the debate. The debate where Kamala demanded hot mics, sitting down, and the use of notes.
These are not the signs of a confident campaign. Neither is a posting a clearly fake letter to...make it look like Tucker Carlson supports Harris or something? It was weird, Tucker Carlson obliterated Harris in response, and I'm not quite sure what the goal was there.
Doesn’t surprise me, ROI doesn’t look promising but we’ll see in Nov. https://t.co/iy2QkjROmt
— Calvin 𝕏 🎙🍿🏴🇮🇱🏴☠️ (@DarthCalvin) August 28, 2024
Oh, it's not surprising at all.
Back in March, there were calls for Kamala Harris to step aside. Polls showed her to be the least popular VP, something she blamed on racism and sexism (get used to hearing lots of that as her poll numbers slide between Labor Day and the election).
She's only the candidate because Biden made it so.
She won no primary votes. Had no delegates in 2020.
And now they're paying TikTok influencers to help her campaign.
On one hand, we get it -- that's how influencers make money and if the Kamala campaign wants to pay them, be our guest.
On the other, if the momentum and the vibes and the joy were real (and not just media smoke and mirrors), she wouldn't have to pay anyone to promote her campaign.
This isn't to say Trump will coast to victory. He's campaigning against Kamala and the media. He needs to keep hammering home her terrible record, her dangerous policies, and let her speak at the debate to make an a** of herself.
Things really get rolling next week, after Labor Day. Following the DNC and weeks of glowing media coverage, Kamala Harris is essentially tied with Donald Trump in the polls.
That's a bad place for the incumbent to be, and it's not going to get better. No matter how many influencers they bribe.
