NBC and the Wall Street Journal published a poll Sunday that reflects President Trump’s job approval and the standing of both parties heading into next month’s midterm election.
You probably won’t hear a whole lot about the results of this poll from the mainstream media.
NBC/WSJ Poll: 36% of voters have a positive view of Republicans compared to 35% who say the same of Democrats.
That is something you'd never know watching the news these days.
— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) October 21, 2018
It appears that the confirmation process of Brett Kavanaugh has ended up being a net positive for Republicans.
The WSJ/NBC poll, to me, clarifies there is Kavanaugh effect of sorts, & it has been net positive for Republicans. Did it juice Democrats? Yes. But they didn’t need any more enthusiasm – Rs did, & it could make difference in competitive lean R House seats, never mind Senate.
— David M. Drucker (@DavidMDrucker) October 21, 2018
Oh, and the president has his highest approval rating yet in the poll.
Trump’s approval rating reaches 47 percent among registered voters in NBC/WSJ poll, his highest yet. Major boost to GOP with just over two weeks to midterm
— Erik Wasson (@elwasson) October 21, 2018
Also according to the poll, Republicans have a substantial lead on the economy and trade, and Democrats have a large advantage on health care and a slight lead on immigration.
Republicans have +15 point advantage on handling the economy, the highest in the poll's history.
Voters trust GOP more on trade/economy, Dems more on health care & (narrowly) immigration.
Trade issues: R+17
Health care: D+18
— Carrie Dann (@CarrieNBCNews) October 21, 2018
The RCP average of President Obama’s approval rating was at 45.8 percent at this point in 2010, so it’s probably not a good idea to assume that this poll means the GOP will hold the House of Representatives next month.
However, the Kavanaugh debacle by Democrats, combined with the extremely positive recent economic data, has given Republicans a chance to hold the House (contrary to what many in the media want you to believe) and make gains in the Senate.