As Twitchy reported earlier Tuesday, retired fighter pilot Amy McGrath has announced that she’s running for Senate in Kentucky against Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. The nail was already put in her coffin when Alyssa Milano announced on Twitter that she’d already donated to McGrath’s campaign, but McGrath’s claim that she’s “further left” and “more progressive” than anyone in Kentucky is going to look great in McConnell’s campaign ads.
who are these people who think McGrath has a shot?
— Josh Barro (@jbarro) July 9, 2019
How about the guy who thought (along with so many others) that Hillary Clinton was pretty much a lock?
I think McGrath has a shot. https://t.co/S3y0ci9QQy
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 9, 2019
McConnell has the worst approval ratings in the country. He will probably win on the basis of partisanship, especially with Trump turnout. But it's not a foregone conclusion and his status as party leader could give him problems that a "generic" Republican might not have.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 9, 2019
It's gonna be one of those races where the polling could show a close race, but the fundamentals strongly favor McConnell and McConnell probably wins. But if you're not providing for, say, a 15-20% chance of McGrath winning, your mental and/or statistical model is overconfident.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 9, 2019
Isn't Kentucky even worse than Tennessee for Democrats on a fundamentals basis? Full of the demographics that have trended R in the last two decades and light on those that went the opposite way.
— Josh Barro (@jbarro) July 9, 2019
The fundamentals are awful for Democrats there but McConnell is a significantly worse candidate than Blackburn.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 9, 2019
So he’s saying there’s a chance.
Regurgitating 2014 arguments there Nate.
— Your Calf Tattoo is Horrid (@Bosch3333) July 9, 2019
It's like 2014 never happened. https://t.co/DSkXWdZ3NQ
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) July 9, 2019
He's actually tripling down on this. next year we're going to get a "How we saw McConnell beating McGrath the entire time" take.. Jesus Christ…
— Stephen Miller (@redsteeze) July 9, 2019
Waiting for the glowing Vanity Fair profile of McGrath. Maybe Beto’s dog will be in that cover photo too?
— JFH (@JeromehartlF) July 9, 2019
Running in Kentucky against the party of socialism and unrestricted abortion should not be that hard.
— The Intersect (@mburm201) July 9, 2019
Kentucky went to Trump by almost 30%. McConnell is disliked, but put him up against a Democrat in a presidential election year in a state like Kentucky and he will win. Easily. I just don't see it happening.
— Brent (@Brent858) July 9, 2019
His approval in KY is quite high…
— Paddy (advanced fetus) OMalley (@paddy_omalley) July 9, 2019
Remember when he was going to be primaried? ?
— Gideon Dabi / גידעון דבי (@gideondabi) July 9, 2019
Silver has gone off the deep end. There is no reason to think this will be close. Yeah, maybe Mitch will only win by 15 instead of 30 like Trump. The horror.
— varesident01 (@varesident01) July 9, 2019
He's turned into a pundit.
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) July 9, 2019
This is one of those predictions to bookmark.
Related:
Amy McGrath (D-Morning Joe) announces challenge against Sen. Mitch McConnell, but she left out one important word from her launch video https://t.co/KoHUC8VJ6n
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) July 9, 2019
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