The border is in disarray, and that's putting it mildly.
We've written about the border crisis extensively, including how -- on DAY ONE in office -- Biden terminated the order related to the border emergency and cut funding. And now, despite Press Secretary KJP saying the border has never been more secure, the Biden administration admits they have a problem:
For everyone who is demanding tougher border control, this is the way to do it.
— President Biden (@POTUS) January 27, 2024
Here's my full statement on border security negotiations: pic.twitter.com/sm2IXV99Lx
That was from January 26, and of course it's the GOP's fault the border is a mess.
But now, a poll of swing states spells very bad news for Biden:
NEW POLL: In 6 out of 7 swing states, the crisis at the border is the “single most important issue” to voters, eclipsing the economy (context: only 29% say the economy is going in the right direction).
— Ellen Carmichael (@ellencarmichael) January 31, 2024
Nearly 2/3s respondents say Biden is responsible.https://t.co/dZWsAFzwLJ
Let's repeat that: only 29% of people think the economy is headed in the right direction, but it's not the 'single most important issue' to respondents. The border crisis is.
Here's the link to the data of the poll, for you data junkies out there.
There's also infighting on the Left over this.
Progressive leaders are pushing back on the Biden Administration's openness (?) to a border deal, even as his motivations are to preserve his political chances against an unpopular Trump. They say he needs to pander to the left flank of their party.https://t.co/lh6sezHGPa
— Ellen Carmichael (@ellencarmichael) January 31, 2024
Recommended
Pander to the Left flank. Let us know how that works for you.
As it looks like Trump is going to be the GOP nominee, this is a point in his favor:
More on this from @AlexThomp at Axios: https://t.co/S3nLQ6xkyV
— Ellen Carmichael (@ellencarmichael) January 31, 2024
President Biden looks increasingly vulnerable on the issue that has been the focus of former President Trump's entire political career.
Why it matters: The percentage of voters who said immigration was the "single most important issue" to them in November went up in six of the seven swing states polled in a new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey.
- 61% of those voters in those states say Biden is at least somewhat responsible for the wave of migration on the U.S.-Mexico border.
- On the same question, 30% blamed the Trump administration and 38% blamed congressional Republicans.
- Voters in those states say they trust Trump over Biden on immigration 52% to 30%. The 22 percentage point margin is up five points since the last poll in December.
Zoom in: Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan are the seven states featured in the poll.
- Asked how they would vote if the election were held today in a one-one-one matchup, Biden trails Trump by an average of 48%-42% across the seven states, which resembles other polls showing Biden lagging Trump in the key states.
- The economy remained the most important issue in every state, but 51% said they trusted Trump to manage the economy compared to 33% for Biden.
Oof.
Tough new swing state poll for Biden from @business/@MorningConsult:
— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) January 31, 2024
Trump up 48-42.
61% blame Biden for the border. 38% say R’s in Congress
% of voters saying “immigration” is their top issue went up in 6 of the 7 states
My write up w/ @erinpdoherty https://t.co/Ph9G4zK5Yg pic.twitter.com/ybEhveg2Ck
Biden is getting the blame for the border. And rightly so.
Which is why they're screeching it's the GOP's fault.
Trump leads Biden 10% in NC, 8% in GA, 8% in NV, 5% in WI, 5% in MI, 3% in PA, and 3% in AZ
— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) January 31, 2024
Some good news for Biden in econ polling.
While just 29% of voters said the US economy was on the "right direction," 52% said the economy was on the "right direction" in their city/town
Also, the same indictments that rallied many Republicans to Trump and made him almost unbeatable in the primary have made him a vulnerable general election nominee
— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) January 31, 2024
23% of self-identified swing-state R’s say they would reject Trump if he is convicted of a crime.
Thanks to the Left's corruption, those cases may implode.
For those who like charts:
— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) January 31, 2024
The economy still is the “single most important issue” but most voters but immigration climbed—especially in Wisconsin, Arizona, and North Carolina.
In Arizona, it was an 8 pt. gap, 28-20% pic.twitter.com/wYZZah072n
We like charts.
More charts.
— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) January 31, 2024
Here’s the polling trend in each state since October pic.twitter.com/Qk9a3fyUai
We take polls with a grain of salt, but it doesn't look good for Biden. If they're accurate.
He could use executive orders on the border. Big blue cities are complaining! Abbot's bus trips are working as intended.
— NewbieDM (@newbiedm) January 31, 2024
He could, but he won't.
As I said, the border could cost Biden the election and no one believes republicans are the ones to blame.
— Stephen L. Miller (@redsteeze) January 31, 2024
Instead of enforcing current one, he's tweeting at Elmo. https://t.co/AfTkQ8OKnb
Yes, he's tweeting at Elmo. For real. Priorities.
Election day is nine months away and there's yet another devastating poll for Joe Biden.
— Anthony LaMesa (@ajlamesa) January 31, 2024
Trump leads in all of the swing states and on both the economy and immigration.
Joe Biden needs to be a statesman and step aside. https://t.co/lXpCLhX0HH
Only if he wants to save the election for Democrats. Any other candidate will beat Trump.
Buyer's remorse. We tried warning them. https://t.co/cJQrIHdpBK
— Country Thinker (@Country_Thinker) January 31, 2024
We did. Now the question becomes this: voters now know both Trump and Biden as president, they didn't know Biden as president before 2020. Which one will they think is more capable of doing the job in 2024?
November is light years away, in terms of politics, and a lot -- a lot -- can change between now and then. But things don't look good for Biden right now. And we can't imagine them getting any better.
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