FULL STOP! Frank Luntz reversed 'sure thing' prediction as it became clear Trump was defeating Hillary

On Tuesday evening, pollster Frank Luntz predicted with much certainty that Hillary Clinton would be “the next President of the United States.”

In case I wasn't clear enough from my previous tweets:

Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States. #ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 8, 2016

After Trump was declared the winner, Luntz blamed bad exit poll data among the things that threw off his prediction. You could see the prediction disaster unfolding as the evening went on:

Everyone following my Twitter: calm down.

There's still lots of vote to be counted. (Over 55% electoral votes remaining.) #ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

Looking at exit polling margins and results so far.

Even races where correct candidate was picked, the margins were way off. #ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

The 2016 exit polls from 5 hours ago are, so far, the worst and least accurate we've ever seen.#ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

https://t.co/oFiV3Ykor4 now has Trump at an 80% chance to win. pic.twitter.com/5UTUK4Tvmi

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

Cold this be the DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN of exit polls? #ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

There is now a realistic path to 270 for Donald Trump. #ElectionNight https://t.co/L8n90WVkol

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

It's happening. #ElectionNight https://t.co/MLFm7i8dyI

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

I'm at Stephen Colbert right now.

The crowd is in shock. The gasps are audible as results come in. #ElectionNight pic.twitter.com/43QUjUYNDI

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

All of tonight's exit polls were wrong, and I was wrong for citing them. #ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

Regarding exit polls tonight, Trump voters were either lying or refused to talk to exit pollsters. #ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

What I just told @CharlieRose: All exit polls should be banned.#ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

Surprising no one, I now think Donald Trump will be the next President of the United States.#ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

It is now "AP official." #ElectionNight https://t.co/FbjGjDHGce

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

Who would have thought?
I sure didn't. #ElectionNight https://t.co/NT24hWiBEN

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

Right now, President-Elect Trump could not be giving a better speech and his audience could not be receiving it any better.#ElectionNight

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 9, 2016

There are lessons to be taken from this election, but whether they will be heeded remains to be seen.