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MSNBC economic analyst shows how Trump will win in 2020 (or not)

Wow. This is some *powerful* information via MSNBC economic analyst and former Obama car czar Steven Rattner. So Trump is either going to win or lose the 2020 election? Really? That’s a bold prediction.


What’s even better, however, is that the first 2 charts actually show Trump winning the election so he went out and found a third one to make sure Joe Biden, who isn’t even the nominee, wins.

Chart 1: “Yale prof Ray Fair’s model accurately predicted Obama’s wins in 2008 and 2012, in part because of the incumbency factor.”

Chart 2: “While the Yale model predicted a Trump win in 2016, it overestimated his popular vote results, a likely consequence of his less than favorable personal qualities.”

Chart 3: “While the Yale model says economy and incumbency should give Trump a win in 2020, polls reflect the drag of Trump being Trump.”


Anyway, he wrote this up for here (if you’re interested):



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