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Nate Silver: GOP chances at controlling the Senate at 68.5%, 'their highest figure of the year'

Not a Happy Halloween for Harry Reid with this scary Senate forecast:

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And Dem readers aren’t happy:

https://twitter.com/itsneumantime/status/528133670528233474

Here is Silver’s analysis on the likelihood of Repubicans winning the Senate seat on a state-by-state basis:

1. Montana (99.8 percent chance of a GOP win)

2. South Dakota (99 percent)

3. West Virginia (98 percent)

4. Arkansas (90 percent chance)

5. Louisiana (77 percent chance)

6. Colorado (75 percent chance)

7. Iowa (67 percent chance)

8. Alaska (67 percent chance)

9. North Carolina (32 percent chance)

10. New Hampshire (17 percent chance)

Fingers crossed!

Related:

Full Twitchy coverage of Nate Silver here.

 

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