Not a Happy Halloween for Harry Reid with this scary Senate forecast:
Not going to tell you if I just got up or worked all night, but here's my take on where the Senate race stands: http://t.co/BK4mUMLpQM
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 31, 2014
And Dem readers aren’t happy:
Embattled Senate Dem’s campaign lashes out at “wrong” Nate Silver #MORNINGJOE http://t.co/PDjljsc7Yv
— @christophil (@christophil) October 31, 2014
https://twitter.com/itsneumantime/status/528133670528233474
@NateSilver538 Still think too bullish for R in CO but great state of Senate fight.
— Astrology is bullshit & those UFOs aren't aliens (@MatthewHallKDM) October 31, 2014
— Christa Mrgan (@antichrista) October 31, 2014
Here is Silver’s analysis on the likelihood of Repubicans winning the Senate seat on a state-by-state basis:
1. Montana (99.8 percent chance of a GOP win)
2. South Dakota (99 percent)
3. West Virginia (98 percent)
4. Arkansas (90 percent chance)
5. Louisiana (77 percent chance)
6. Colorado (75 percent chance)
7. Iowa (67 percent chance)
8. Alaska (67 percent chance)
9. North Carolina (32 percent chance)
10. New Hampshire (17 percent chance)
Fingers crossed!
Related:
Full Twitchy coverage of Nate Silver here.