There’s a new Quinnipiac poll out this morning of the crucial swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania that has those in Trump Tower smiling this morning. It’s all tied up, folks:

For comparison purposes, Trump is doing at least as well as Mitt Romney at the same point in 2012:

From Quinnipiac:

“Six months from Election Day, the presidential races between Hillary Clinton and Donald
Trump in the three most crucial states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, are too close to call,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

“At this juncture, Trump is doing better in Pennsylvania than the GOP nominees in 2008 and
2012. And the two candidates are about where their party predecessors were at this point in Ohio and Florida.”

But, there’s some question if the sample Q is using properly reflects the 2016 electorate:

And even Trump supporters have noticed an issue with Q’s crosstabs, including polling that suggests Americans don’t want Trump’s wall with Mexico even though they do want him as president:

From Quinnipiac:

Pennsylvania voters oppose 51 – 45 percent building a wall along the border with Mexico. White voters are divided as 49 percent want a wall with 47 percent opposed. Non-white voters are opposed 71 – 26 percent. […]

Florida voters split 48 – 48 percent on whether the U.S. should build a wall along the Mexican border. Men support the wall 54 – 44 percent, with women opposed 52 – 43 percent. White voters want a wall 55 – 41 percent, with non-white voters opposed 65 – 31 percent. […]

Ohio voters oppose 52 – 45 percent building a wall along the border with Mexico. White voters are divided as 50 percent want a wall, with 46 percent opposed. Non-white voters are opposed 79 – 19 percent.

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