As we told you earlier this week, Jon Cooper, chairman of the Democratic Coalition, shared a totally believable anecdote intended to prove that Trump’s base is abandoning him:

Here’s the alleged overheard conversation:

Senator Ted Cruz has performed a helpful analysis of it all:

Cooper and others didn’t like Cruz questioning the veracity of a claim similar to those we’ve heard with increasing frequency in the Trump era, often involving overheard conversations or woke children:

Anyway, back to the alleged conversation that started it all. What are the odds that it actually happened?