If you’ve seen some of the presidential polls in various swing states, you know that many show Joe Biden with a lead (a ridiculously sizable lead in the case of one Wisconsin poll this week). ABC News has shared FiveThirtyEight’s take on the odds each candidate have of winning:

If that looks familiar, it should:

Yep, this is from FiveThirtyEight shortly before the 2016 election:

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Are the pollsters making the same mistakes all over again?

Probably a good idea!