We’re not sure why Roll Call is stepping into these waters, but it’s published an analysis by Nathan Gonzales saying that a “red wave” isn’t in the cards yet — if the election were held today, Republicans would pick up just seven seats in the House; enough to take control, but nothing outstanding.
ANALYSIS: If the election were held today, it looks as if Republicans would gain seven House seats — enough to win control, but not exactly a wave, @nathanlgonzales writes. https://t.co/m7V1Smwojy
— Roll Call (@rollcall) July 14, 2022
Gonzales writes:
If the election were held today, it looks as if Republicans would gain seven House seats, according to Inside Elections’ individual race ratings. While that would be enough for the majority, it certainly wouldn’t qualify as a red wave.
Still, that doesn’t mean Democrats can rest easy, and GOP gains are likely to be higher.
If you tally all the races rated as Solid Republican, Likely Republican, Lean Republican and Tilt Republican, and split the 18 Toss-up races evenly, Republicans would have 221 seats. That would be a net gain of seven seats. They need a net gain of only four for the majority.
Of course, Republicans wouldn’t turn that down, but it would be a minuscule gain and a massive disappointment for the GOP because the expectations and current projections are high.
Current projections are indeed high. And Democrats are heading into the midterms pushing important policies like Drag Queen Story Hour and “people with the capacity to give birth.”
Seven?
Oh boy this won't age well.
— Styxhexenhammer666 (@Styx666Official) July 14, 2022
Screen shot for record lol
— Mike 🇺🇸 🥇👻 🔫 (@MDDegginger) July 14, 2022
Siri set a reminder to roast this tweet in November
— Mayhem like me (@like_mayhem) July 14, 2022
— Tom T (@Tomtmd) July 14, 2022
That's some pretty good stand-up right there. You could submit that to the @TheBabylonBee
— Chris (@myopicseer) July 14, 2022
This is termed the Denial Phase of Grief
— Tom T (@Tomtmd) July 14, 2022
it looks like 538 has them gaining 14 to 41 seats, so 228-255 total. Only 7 would be a Christmas miracle for Dems.
— SnarkyJoan (@Johnisnotamused) July 14, 2022
— James Houston (@Atticus1971) July 14, 2022
Too early for this won’t age well?
— smoothdavid96 (@smoothdave1996) July 14, 2022
Analysis and wishcasting are non synonyms.
— Lassie, like Merrick, risen from the ashes (@3rdstringlassie) July 14, 2022
Come on you don't believe that
— Patricia Collins 🇺🇲 (@cpat3188) July 14, 2022
I love how people keep spewing this nonsense because they know it's not true but have to say something
— Casey Leonard (@CaseyLeonard) July 14, 2022
😂😂😂😂😂. Whatever helps you sleep well.
— SideWalkFanAU (@walk_fan) July 14, 2022
Wait until we get closer to the election, when the Republicans start running those commercials with Dems talking about how much they want to talk anal sex and dildo quality with 3rd graders. Should be fun!
— Mark Twait (@CrimsonPKing) July 14, 2022
Related:
CNN’s Jim Sciutto and Dem Rep. Steve Cohen help prepare Americans for the midterms to be ‘marred by violence’ https://t.co/9o5PPv8als
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) June 7, 2022
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