It appears that Sen. Mitt Romney is trying to become the new Jeff Flake of the Republican Party, and Mick Mulvaney’s press conference Thursday might have swayed a few others, at least in the House:
.@GOP Rep. Francis Rooney not ruling out impeachment after Mulvaney’s confession:
"I remember too many people saying, 'Oh, this is a witch hunt against Richard Nixon,' and come to find out it wasn't a witch hunt."https://t.co/CqM4AGkXBz
— Jesse Lehrich (@JesseLehrich) October 17, 2019
Despite the overheated chyrons at CNN, the needle on impeachment doesn’t seem to have moved much at all, and Speaker Nancy Pelosi said the subject never even came up during President Trump’s “meltdown” at a meeting Wednesday.
So, where do Republican senators stand on Trump’s impeachment? Allahpundit of Twitchy sister-site HotAir has the over/under at 2.5 — nowhere near enough to convict or remove from office, but a significant number nonetheless.
Over/under on Senate Republican votes to remove Trump remains at 2.5
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
Takers?
assuming sasse is the .5
— your pal andy (@andylevy) October 17, 2019
He’ll cough up a reason to acquit. Probably “bad but not impeachable.”
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
"though the president's actions were perhaps regrettable, it is time to put aside partisan bickering and come together with the civility needed to vote to acquit"
— your pal andy (@andylevy) October 17, 2019
He’ll find a way to blame Democrats too somehow
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
"certainly we all bear some responsibility for the erosion of civic virtues that has led us to this unfortunate occasion"
— your pal andy (@andylevy) October 17, 2019
A lot of lip service will be paid to civic virtues while he’s handing Trump his free pass on quid pro quos with foreign governments
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
i will eat a shoe if the phrase "this august body" isn't in there
— your pal andy (@andylevy) October 17, 2019
Where can I get in on this action!!!!!
— Tim Miller (@Timodc) October 17, 2019
You’re taking the over?
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
I am maxing out the under pic.twitter.com/OYvFOPzire
— Tim Miller (@Timodc) October 17, 2019
I think there’s a fair chance Romney and Murky each vote to remove, which puts us right on the brink
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
Collins will vote to remove. She needs to to have any shot of winning her race. Her problem is the general, not the primary.
— Matt (@Emptyset09) October 17, 2019
So many people in the replies here unaware that that the Maine senatorial primary is in June, and the filing deadline is in March. Susan Collins might as well announce her retirement if she votes to remove Trump. There won't be a majority for conviction. https://t.co/AJRxzvZScr
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) October 17, 2019
I think Romney and Murky might break. Would be shocked if anyone else did. Burr might be the best chance.
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
Those are retirement announcements. And if there's a majority for conviction, the entire GOP caucus will pay. I doubt the'y'd let that happen.
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) October 17, 2019
Romney votes to convict and he's poison the rest of his time in the Senate. No R would dare work with him. He'd be untouchable. If he's willing to throw away his effectiveness, more power to him, I guess.
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) October 17, 2019
Are we counting Romney as 1/2 Republican? 🙂
— Dale Betterton (@DaleBetterton) October 17, 2019
If that.
Manchin and Sinema negate Collins and Murkowski
— Greg “Still Deplorable” Little (@hokeisit) October 17, 2019
Way over. Not 20, but way over.
— Measured & Decisive Fred (@LesserFrederick) October 17, 2019
Oh you sweet summer child
— Allahpundit (@allahpundit) October 17, 2019
Romney and that’s it.
The other candidates – Sasse, Collins, Gardner, etc – are all up for election and sticking with Trump is their best shot at survival given GOP base dynamics right now.
— Lukas Petersen (@LUKABUS89) October 17, 2019
Collins is already taking heat for Kavanaugh, the politics with her cut in favor of removal
— SteelyTom (@tom_steely) October 17, 2019
Over.
— Sarah Longwell (@SarahLongwell25) October 17, 2019
Ok Longwell now we just need a bookie to broker the bet.
— Tim Miller (@Timodc) October 17, 2019
I’ll lay it down on 4
— R.J. Lehmann (@raylehmann) October 17, 2019
My Venmo is Tim-Miller-77 when you are ready to throw in the towel on 4
— Tim Miller (@Timodc) October 17, 2019
Incorrect.
The number of votes to remove will match his disapproval average.
Trump is at 54% disapproval today, if held, there would 54 votes in Senate to convict.
All Dem Caucus +Romney, Murkowski, Collins, McSally, Gardner, Tillis, & Toomey— Kirk Merritt (@Kirk4Defiance) October 17, 2019
Romney, Murkowski, 2016 Sasse
— DeLaJeff (@vagueterrain) October 17, 2019
Collins is the .5? She'd be my .5.
— Taylor Millard Werewolf by Night (@TaylorMVLR) October 17, 2019
5 and many GOP senators running get wiped out in 2020
— TPS Report ? (@ShoNuf77) October 17, 2019
Put it at zero and I’d still bet the under
— Gosspaine (@Gosspaine) October 17, 2019
I will take the over.
I see six possible votes:
Murkowski
Alexander*
Romney
Collins
Sasse
GardnerThree wildcards:
Roberts*
Enzi*
Burr**Announced retirement.
— Joe (@joec522) October 17, 2019
I don't understand. What's stopping Grassley, who's **86** and in the Senate until 2022, from voting to remove?
— tphillipoff (@luxstrar) October 17, 2019
I’ll take the under.
— Andrew Burton (@burtonad) October 17, 2019
Always the under with this one.
— Hoff-mann Hoff-amazing (@OriginalBad) October 17, 2019
I’m going over. But at 3
— Supply Side Gaslighting (@82_and_0) October 17, 2019
I think Romney, Murkowski, and Collins will all ultimately vote to remove.
— Sir Humphrey (@bdquinn) October 17, 2019
Remove for what?? Awesomeness?
— learn computer stuff (@realbly1) October 17, 2019
Bet your house on removal
— Timbo (@Timbo88187293) October 17, 2019
No way.
If you told me it was 0 I’d take the under. https://t.co/eRrxXTzwXW
— Jean-Michel Connard (@torriangray) October 17, 2019
Collins, Romney, Lee, Cruz, and Sasse if the vote were held today. I suspect Murkowski & Toomey aren’t far behind.
Dark horse: GRAHAM. you heard me. https://t.co/4YebEuRCcj
— Jason Marianna (@jwmarianna) October 17, 2019
What's the over/under on Democrats who vote to aquit?
— Dr. Franklinstein ? (@FranklinH3000) October 17, 2019
Zero. The hive mind will prevail as always — keeping in mind this is all just a hypothetical and Pelosi hasn’t even considered bringing an impeachment inquiry to a floor vote.
Related:
Bill Kristol might regret his Twitter poll pitting Mitt Romney against Donald Trump https://t.co/YMBrUHDBFi
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) October 5, 2019
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