No Teleprompter or Script? Trump Says Victory Speech Will Come From the Heart,...
BOOMITY! Greg Gutfeld ERUPTS on Government Toadies Who Killed Peanut the Squirrel and...
Dairy State Dispatch: Let's Check in on Where Wisconsin Stands (So Far)
Joy Behar Declares She Would Rather Die Than Have a Republican Save Her...
Even Cooper Doesn't Buy It: Amy Klobuchar Says SO MANY Conservatives Have Told...
AOC Thinks Voting for Kamala Harris Will Control the Weather in New York
Manhattan Mayhem as Democrats Face Off Against Vengeful Squirrels and Raccoons on Election...
RUN A PICK SIX! Tim Walz Tried a 'Game Day' Tweet for Election...
The Real Life 'Tony Stark' Proclaims Men Are Coming to Save America with...
BOOM: Insurrection Barbie Reminds Us Why We Need to Vote Trump for Our...
COPIUM Alert: Former WH Comms Director Ignores Reality, Says Trump Failed to Expand...
Obama Lackey Ben Rhodes Wants Us All to Know Kamala Really Stepped Up...
J.D. Vance's Dog Atlas Turns One and Wants Us All to Go Vote...
James Woods Takes 'Catastrophe' Kamala Harris APART Point by Point in EPIC Post...
Quick, Call Rep. Hank Johnson! Guam Didn't Capsize, but Does Flip Republican for...

A reminder from David Harsanyi that 'national generic ballot polls are useless'

“Useless” is how Federalist editor David Harsanyi describes national generic ballot polls.

Advertisement

National generic ballot poll results are abundant in congressional election years. The difficulty with extrapolating congressional electoral outcomes from national generic ballot polling is similar to that of inferring which presidential candidate will win the electoral college based on national head-to-head polling results.

Too many political polls have produced inaccurate results (results that did not reflect the electorate) in recent election cycles. The main problem with a national generic ballot poll is not inaccuracy, though it may produce an inaccurate result. The main problem with a national generic ballot poll is that, by definition, it produces one nationally-compiled result rather than results signaling electoral sentiment on a state-by-state, district-by-district, and race-by-race basis.

Join the conversation as a VIP Member

Recommended

Trending on Twitchy Videos

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement