The latest Quinnipiac poll on the generic ballot is out and now finds the Dem lead has fallen from +14 all the way down to +7:

This could be an important finding since the polling was done during last week’s Kavanaugh drama:

And “this is also the smallest lead Democrats have had on the Quinnipiac generic ballot poll since early July”:

Now for the potential buzzkill…

The old +14 number was seen as an outlier:


The latest average of recent polling shows a more modest 1-point decrease for the Dems:

And the latest 538 forecast does show things getting slightly worse for Dems:

More from Quinnipiac here: