Sean Trende at Real Clear Politics tweeted on Wednesday that new polling shows the media’s predicted Republican apocalypse in the 2018 midterm elections in the House might not come to be and that the GOP might actually gain seats in the Senate:

Trende took some heat for his analysis, which he explained further this morning:

In summary, anything can happen between now and November 2018, but “great economic news matters” and that what’s driving the polls right now: