Nate Silver breaks down coronavirus projections to 'Trump states' and 'Clinton states' (and people have thoughts)

Doug P. | 12:07 PM on March 26, 2020

We’ve seen our share of politically-motivated hot takes since the beginning of the coronavirus epidemic, and pollster Nate Silver has provided another one to add to the list.

I can’t wait to see how this ages ?

— Bribin’ Joe (@WeKnowEDKH) March 26, 2020

Here’s the analysis, and the basis goes back to the 2016 election:

Increase over yesterday in detected coronavirus cases. Hopefully, grouping things by region helps even out disparities in testing rates.

South: +32%
Northeast (excluding NY): +30%
Midwest: +27%
West (excluding CA & WA): +23%
New York: +20%
California: +20%
Washington: +11%

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 25, 2020

Here's another interesting comparison. Yesterday, detected cases increased by 31% in Trump states as compared to 21% in Clinton states. https://t.co/IwPxTfnoeB

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 26, 2020

There is also likely significant underdetection in Trump states. In Trump states that report on hospitalizations, 20% of detected cases are resulting in hospitalizations, compared to 12% in Clinton states (10% without NY). That probably means a lot of mild cases are being missed.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 26, 2020

Let’s just say that approach, outside of lefties screaming “karma,” isn’t being welcomed in a time of crisis when people need to come together:

Is this what we're doing now? https://t.co/FdOwgrVpav

— Becky Kevoian (@BobsFunGirl) March 26, 2020

Apparently.

Nate – everything doesn’t have to be made political

— Bob (@roberttcu12) March 26, 2020

"Trump states" vs. "Clinton states" is a completely insane way to look at this for both practical reasons – it needlessly divides an already divided nation along partisan lines for no reason – and usefulness reasons – red states have lots of blue cities, so this tells us little. https://t.co/HyoEEs9vgp

— JERRY DUNLEAVY (@JerryDunleavy) March 26, 2020

Media dude engaged in thinly-veiled cheering for a deadly virus.

Let's definitely give these people all the political power in America.https://t.co/Zu8Ag5vWbX

— JimDelCottonelle (@JimDelRey) March 26, 2020

"Interesting" = "Stupid AF take" https://t.co/vOaiWuEBlV

— Deebs (@DeebsFLA) March 26, 2020

My God, Nate. You’re better than this.

— Jubal E. Harshaw (@alimhaider) March 26, 2020

Why does anyone take you seriously? I'm legitimately curious.

— Mo Mo (@molratty) March 26, 2020

Being a "boofing" truther was less embarrassing than this. https://t.co/5oYxqVM3a0

— BT (@back_ttys) March 26, 2020

Mr. Silver, I question the sliver of wisdom of differentiating the COVID-19 cases into Trump vs. non-Trump states. Illogical & counterproductive. https://t.co/6nrm95ZfTD

— Rick Keller (@RickKellerMD) March 26, 2020