Nate Silver breaks down coronavirus projections to ‘Trump states’ and ‘Clinton states’ (and people have thoughts)

Here’s the analysis, and the basis goes back to the 2016 election:

Increase over yesterday in detected coronavirus cases. Hopefully, grouping things by region helps even out disparities in testing rates.

South: +32%
Northeast (excluding NY): +30%
Midwest: +27%
West (excluding CA & WA): +23%
New York: +20%
California: +20%
Washington: +11%

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 25, 2020

Here's another interesting comparison. Yesterday, detected cases increased by 31% in Trump states as compared to 21% in Clinton states. https://t.co/IwPxTfnoeB

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 26, 2020

If detected cases in each set of states continue to increase at their current rates, the number of cases in Trump states would surpass the number of cases in Clinton states on 4/11… the day before Easter.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 26, 2020

There is also likely significant underdetection in Trump states. In Trump states that report on hospitalizations, 20% of detected cases are resulting in hospitalizations, compared to 12% in Clinton states (10% without NY). That probably means a lot of mild cases are being missed.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 26, 2020

Let’s just say that approach, outside of lefties screaming “karma,” isn’t being welcomed in a time of crisis when people need to come together:

Is this what we're doing now? https://t.co/FdOwgrVpav

— Becky Kevoian (@BobsFunGirl) March 26, 2020

Apparently.

Nate – everything doesn’t have to be made political

— Bob (@roberttcu12) March 26, 2020

"Trump states" vs. "Clinton states" is a completely insane way to look at this for both practical reasons – it needlessly divides an already divided nation along partisan lines for no reason – and usefulness reasons – red states have lots of blue cities, so this tells us little. https://t.co/HyoEEs9vgp

— JERRY DUNLEAVY (@JerryDunleavy) March 26, 2020

Media dude engaged in thinly-veiled cheering for a deadly virus.

Let's definitely give these people all the political power in America.https://t.co/Zu8Ag5vWbX

— JimDelCottonelle (@JimDelRey) March 26, 2020

"Interesting" = "Stupid AF take" https://t.co/vOaiWuEBlV

— Deebs (@DeebsFLA) March 26, 2020

My God, Nate. You’re better than this.

— Jubal E. Harshaw (@alimhaider) March 26, 2020

Why does anyone take you seriously? I'm legitimately curious.

— Mo Mo (@molratty) March 26, 2020

Being a "boofing" truther was less embarrassing than this. https://t.co/5oYxqVM3a0

— BT (@back_ttys) March 26, 2020

Mr. Silver, I question the sliver of wisdom of differentiating the COVID-19 cases into Trump vs. non-Trump states. Illogical & counterproductive. https://t.co/6nrm95ZfTD

— Rick Keller (@RickKellerMD) March 26, 2020

What about if you run this same simulation for the 40 states Trump will win in November?

— Laurent Fourier (@laurent_fourier) March 26, 2020

Democrats and the media seem to be trying hard to achieve that outcome.