A new poll out by Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia has Dem Beto O’Rourke up by 2 points over Sen. Ted Cruz in the Texas Senate race:
BREAKING: New poll shows Beto up by 2 points on Ted Cruz. And again, let me make it clear. This doesn’t make Democrats complacent. It makes us more energized. Our enthusiasm is at record levels. This increases that. We will work as if we’re behind, through the finish line. ??
— Scott Dworkin (@funder) September 19, 2018
But as we told you yesterday, Quinnipiac had Cruz up by 9%:
new Quinnipiac likely voter poll in Texas Senate race: Cruz 54%, O'Rourke 45%
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) September 18, 2018
We should note that this is an online-only poll:
Ehhh. An “Ipsos online poll” and I don’t see details about sample size, geographic/gender/partisan balancing of the sample, and other crosstab info that would lend credibility. https://t.co/2TJN31lcaJ
— Sarah Rumpf (@rumpfshaker) September 19, 2018
Yeah, this poll seems awfully shady. https://t.co/63qgvdoY3M
— Brandon Morse (@TheBrandonMorse) September 19, 2018
And pollsters acknowledge that there might be issues with it as it’s “more bullish” than other polls:
Full details, including toplines, tables, crosstabs, and methodological information, for all five of these polls are available at: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/election-data-CA-FL-TX-NV-AZ.
The finding in the Texas Senate race is a more bullish result for Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D, TX-16) than other polls. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) leads by 4.5 points in the RealClearPolitics polling average, and led by nine in a Quinnipiac University poll released on Tuesday. One similarity between this poll and others is that Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is running ahead of Cruz in his own reelection bid, although other polls have shown the incumbent governor with a larger lead. The Crystal Ball rates the Texas Senate race as Leans Republican, and the gubernatorial race as Safe Republican.
More results from the same poll in other races:
Arizona Senate: Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%, Martha McSally (R) 44%
Arizona Governor: Doug Ducey (R) 51%, David Garcia (D) 39%
California Senate: Dianne Feinstein (D) 44%, Kevin de León (D) 24%
California Governor: Gavin Newsom (D) 52%, John Cox (R) 40%
— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) September 19, 2018
Florida Senate: Rick Scott (R) 46%, Bill Nelson (D) 45%
Florida Governor: Andrew Gillum (D) 50%, Ron DeSantis (R) 44%
Nevada Senate: Dean Heller (R) 46%, Jacky Rosen (D) 43%
Nevada Governor: Adam Laxalt (R) 43%, Steve Sisolak (D) 40%
— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) September 19, 2018
Texas Senate: Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%, Ted Cruz (R) 45%
Texas Governor: Greg Abbott (R) 50%, Lupe Valdez (D) 41%
Many more details here — https://t.co/JMAgNgDArb
— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) September 19, 2018
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Related:
BETO FINITO? New poll in Texas is good news for Ted Cruz https://t.co/sxMnaQlgtX
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) September 18, 2018
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