POLLS! NYT Upshot/Siena NC: 44-44; Quinnipiac NC: Clinton 47, Trump 45; Quinnipiac FL: Clinton 46, Trump 45

We have a few new polls out this morning in two must-win states for Donald Trump.

First up, here’s the New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll that shows it all tied up in North Carolina:

North Carolina,
NYT Upshot/ Siena College Poll:

Trump 44%
Clinton 44% https://t.co/TCTmLcKwPw

https://t.co/tFnoEQUwAy

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 7, 2016

And the momentum is with Trump:

A 7 point shift toward Trump since late Oct https://t.co/xrxudpc4LT

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 7, 2016

Not surprisingly, it’s all about Dem turnout…

Upshot poll: Even a modest drop-off in black turnout in North Carolina could represent Clinton’s margin of defeat. https://t.co/LTLoddsJJg pic.twitter.com/8ZvTrSZkOy

— The Upshot (@UpshotNYT) November 7, 2016

…as the GOP has come home:

Trump consolidates the base in NC: now 90% of GOP, up from 80%. 59% of whites, up from 53. Winning white col+ https://t.co/b6K2oygAcz

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 7, 2016

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Quinnipiac is out with polls in both North Carolina and Florida that show the race “too close to call“:

Quinnipiac Polls:

FLORIDA:
Clinton 46 (+1)
Trump 45
Johnson 2

NORTH CAROLINA:
Clinton 47 (+2)
Trump 45
Johnson 3https://t.co/UNOcnhsKcm

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 7, 2016

However, Trump isn’t looking quite as competitive in Quinnipiac’s other battleground state polls:

Quinnipiac University #SwingState Polls in #VA #CO #PA #NC #FL #IA #GA #OH #Election2016 pic.twitter.com/wraKRFO4o7

— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) November 7, 2016

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