This new CNN/ORC poll of a head-to-head match up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is just brutal for the GOP:
Clinton leads Trump by 13 points (54 to 41) in new CNN head-to-head poll https://t.co/WNyY9OQrI4
— Liz Kreutz (@ABCLiz) May 4, 2016
On the plus side, Trump leads Clinton 50%-45% on who voters trust to best handle the economy, but Clinton leads Trump on a host of other issues:
…She is more trusted than Trump on terrorism (50% Clinton to 45% Trump), immigration (51% to 44%), health care (55% to 39%), the income gap (54% to 37%), foreign policy (61% to 36%), education (61% to 34%) and climate change (63% to 30%).
Trump supporters will obviously say that these numbers will change between now and November, but the other side of that argument is that the Dem machine has yet to full engage in attacking Trump:
13 points is YUUUGE.
Imagine the point spread after debates start & major Dems like POTUS, FLOTUS & VP are in play. https://t.co/GVj34ruWAY
— Victoria Brownworth (@VABVOX) May 4, 2016
We saw that begin last night with Sen. Elizabeth Warren going on the attack:
Wow, Elizabeth Warren REALLY doesn’t want Trump to be president! (bonus reality check included) https://t.co/D558lqLtUo
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) May 4, 2016
Clinton’s lead is currently 6.5% in the RealClearPolitics poll average:
In equally distressing news for the GOP, Larry Sabato released his first “Crystal Ball” projection of a likely Trump-Clinton match up and it’s a 347-191 landslide for the Dems:
Where the Clinton-Trump matchup starts in our Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings pic.twitter.com/IpIryVRJFZ
— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) May 4, 2016
If Sabato is correct, then Donald Trump’s chances hinge on him doing well in the “Likely D” and “Leans D” states of Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Virginia — which are exactly the states Hillary Clinton is already preparing to fight for:
— Dan Merica (@danmericaCNN) May 4, 2016
Will come down to whoever peels away the Rust Belt.
Trade, guns, energy & religious freedom will take center stage. https://t.co/IDYHUSZ5TE
— SalenaZito (@SalenaZitoTrib) May 4, 2016
Tons of attention now on the industrial Midwest. Trump may need a sweep there that Reagan last managed in 1984. https://t.co/2qjTFghibq
— Neil King (@NKingofDC) May 4, 2016
It will be tragi-comic to witness your train wreck unfold:https://t.co/lE45i2Dht4
— Adam Baldwin (@AdamBaldwin) May 4, 2016
Can Trump win? Sure … it’s early. But these numbers do show he and the rest of the GOP have a lot of catching up to do.