Nate Silver’s new pollster rankings for 2020 are out. Have a look:
Our new pollster ratings are up!
They've been updated to reflect the results of the 2020 general election + the GA runoffs.
Also a shiny new interactive. Fivey Fox makes a cameo appearance.
Here's the link. I'll discuss some key findings in this ?.https://t.co/HBex5M5zFm pic.twitter.com/JJiJDxOXpF
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 25, 2021
Of note, ABC News/Washington Post gets an A+. Yes, the same ABC News/Washington Post poll that was off by 16.4% in Wisconsin:
How is ABC still A+ if they had Biden +16 in Wisconsin the week of the election?
— DellCurryComputer (@sScCrRaAbBLLeE) March 25, 2021
FiveThirtyEight’s Nathaniel Rakich does call it a “fair question” but says the 16.4% miss was an “extreme outlier”:
A fair question, but as you can see here, their miss there was an extreme outlier. https://t.co/WDExtUp5XM https://t.co/6MXZPekszb pic.twitter.com/4zP7dNFjuL
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) March 25, 2021
And he wants everyone to know that the fact that ABC News and FiveThirtyEight have a “shared parent company” has nothing to do with the rating:
(Should note here that, despite our shared parent company, FiveThirtyEight and the ABC News/WaPo polling team are completely independent.)
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) March 25, 2021
Call us crazy, but maybe this doesn’t deserve an A+:
A week ago, the Washington Post, citing its new poll, reported that Biden had a 17-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin, 57 percent to 40 percent. What an utter, complete, total embarrassment. Current actual difference: 7/10 of one percent. https://t.co/2tRwanTn5n pic.twitter.com/8D5ZT37yF9
— Byron York (@ByronYork) November 4, 2020
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Also getting an A- rating is Quinnipiac University that had Ohio wrong by 12.0, Florida wrong by 8.4% and nationally wrong by 6.5%:
nate why https://t.co/KqQn3siZJO pic.twitter.com/sLCSERA4iP
— Doggo (@0Doggo0) March 25, 2021
People are also questioning why Nate gave the much-malinged-by-libs Traflagar Group an A-:
Hey Nate, this you? https://t.co/1AXFlWbtsj pic.twitter.com/v7R6BqWpDN
— Scott Imberman (@imbernomics) March 25, 2021
Is it because of their accuracy maybe? It’s probably because of their accuracy:
Full list of pollsters here.
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