Nate Silver gives pollster owned by 'shared parent company' who was off in Wisconsin by only 16.4% an A+

Greg P. | 1:27 PM on March 25, 2021

Nate Silver’s new pollster rankings for 2020 are out. Have a look:

Our new pollster ratings are up!

They've been updated to reflect the results of the 2020 general election + the GA runoffs.

Also a shiny new interactive. Fivey Fox makes a cameo appearance.

Here's the link. I'll discuss some key findings in this ?.https://t.co/HBex5M5zFm pic.twitter.com/JJiJDxOXpF

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 25, 2021

Of note, ABC News/Washington Post gets an A+. Yes, the same ABC News/Washington Post poll that was off by 16.4% in Wisconsin:

How is ABC still A+ if they had Biden +16 in Wisconsin the week of the election?

— DellCurryComputer (@sScCrRaAbBLLeE) March 25, 2021

Whoops!

FiveThirtyEight’s Nathaniel Rakich does call it a “fair question” but says the 16.4% miss was an “extreme outlier”:

A fair question, but as you can see here, their miss there was an extreme outlier. https://t.co/WDExtUp5XM https://t.co/6MXZPekszb pic.twitter.com/4zP7dNFjuL

— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) March 25, 2021

And he wants everyone to know that the fact that ABC News and FiveThirtyEight have a “shared parent company” has nothing to do with the rating:

(Should note here that, despite our shared parent company, FiveThirtyEight and the ABC News/WaPo polling team are completely independent.)

— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) March 25, 2021

Call us crazy, but maybe this doesn’t deserve an A+:

A week ago, the Washington Post, citing its new poll, reported that Biden had a 17-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin, 57 percent to 40 percent. What an utter, complete, total embarrassment. Current actual difference: 7/10 of one percent. https://t.co/2tRwanTn5n pic.twitter.com/8D5ZT37yF9

— Byron York (@ByronYork) November 4, 2020