Meteorologist and hurricane expert Joe Bastardi has a great thread here busting this new Axios report titled, “The ties between Hurricane Florence and climate change.”
First up, Bastardi asks where was the Axios report weeks ago when models showed it coming, “strictly due to natural forcing”:
https://t.co/tJ2ae96o8c Hmmm did not see the author tweeting much on Aug 23 when the JMA showed the 2-3 week burst coming, strictly due to natural forcing it predicted. Wonder why
— Joe Bastardi (@BigJoeBastardi) September 11, 2018
The Axios report left this part out for some reason:
Author blissfully unaware of natural changes that were occurring to force a 2-3 week burst into the atlantic basin, If he had seen this, and knew what it meant, he would not have written this, Then again maybe he would anyway, Well telegraphed burst just as shutdown coming is pic.twitter.com/R0n1FodtD7
— Joe Bastardi (@BigJoeBastardi) September 12, 2018
Also left out of the Axios report, an explanation why there a fewer major hurricane landfalls now than in the past:
This figure from @philklotzbach shows FL and US east coast major hurricane history since 1915 ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/dIfCvrYAW2
— Roger Pielke Jr. (@RogerPielkeJr) September 11, 2018
The reality is, the east coast gets big storms. Like Hazel in 1954 which if it happened today, would be blamed on climate change:
Gee I wonder how something in 1954 could have got that high and whipped all these modern storms in the age of "climate change" pic.twitter.com/yzvsQ4bQ8b
— Joe Bastardi (@BigJoeBastardi) September 12, 2018
And Florence isn’t even as strong right now as Gloria in 1985, despite being over warmer water:
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Then why is this still 25 mb weaker than Gloria in 1985 which was over colder water in a bout the same place, 2 weeks later in season https://t.co/r1zs8PdzVb
— Joe Bastardi (@BigJoeBastardi) September 12, 2018
The face is that it was the natural weather patterns that caused this burst of tropical moisture, not ocean temps near the U.S.:
How was Gloria so much stronger in same place 2 weeks later in season and over colder water? They have no idea of what lead to this 2-3 week burst, no idea why it will be shutting down as fast as it ramped up and certainly no clue as to whether "climate change" did anything
— Joe Bastardi (@BigJoeBastardi) September 12, 2018
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Related:
'Get out of the storm's way': Models for Florence get worse as storm predicted to stall of coast https://t.co/1nKenATCHe
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) September 12, 2018
NEWSFLASH: Trump is 100% right about Puerto Rico's local government and these new photos prove it https://t.co/Yc0NceX3B6
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) September 12, 2018
'Get out of the storm's way': Models for Florence get worse as storm predicted to stall of coast https://t.co/1nKenATCHe
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) September 12, 2018
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