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AP reports that black support for GOP in 2022 election 'ticked up' (here's what that means)

Ahead of the 2020 presidential election, then-candidate Biden reminded African American voters that “you ain’t black” if they voted for President Trump instead of the Democrat:

This had to be one of the most arrogant things a candidate ever uttered:

“I do that to white media and black media because my wife has to go on at 6 o’clock,” Biden said, referring to his wife Jill Biden apparently needing to use the broadcast studio they’ve built in their basement in Delaware as the coronavirus pandemic has knocked Biden off the campaign trail. Glancing at his watch, Biden said, “uh oh, I’m in trouble.”

Charlamagne told Biden that he should come to the studio in New York City for another interview, telling the former vice president that “we’ve got more questions.”

“You’ve got more questions?” Biden replied. “Well I tell you what, if you have a problem figuring out whether you’re for me or Trump, then you ain’t black.”

It appears that kind of rhetoric and other factors caused more black voters to support Republicans in the 2022 midterms. Or, as the Associated Press frames it here, black support for the GOP has “ticked up”:

“Ticked up” is one way to put it, though it was a fairly large shift:

This seems to be “ticked up” and then some:

Black voters have been a steady foundation for Democratic candidates for decades, but that support appeared to show a few cracks in this year’s elections.

Republican candidates were backed by 14% of Black voters, compared with 8% in the last midterm elections four years ago, according to AP VoteCast, an extensive national survey of the electorate.

In Georgia, Republican Gov. Brian Kemp more than doubled his support among Black voters to 12% in 2022 compared with 5% four years ago, according to VoteCast. He defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams both times.

If that boost can be sustained, Democrats could face headwinds in 2024 in Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, where presidential and Senate races are typically decided by narrow margins and turning out Black voters is a big part of Democrats’ political strategy.

There wasn’t the massive “red wave” for the Republicans that many predicted, but the Democrats losing voters like this on a fairly consistent basis has to be of concern to the party.

And that’s exactly what they’ve done (the Biden clip above is the best evidence of that).

***

Related:

NY Mag vomits up revolting and nakedly racist piece about Herschel Walker jeopardizing ‘the future of black politics’

Stacey Abrams claims her poll numbers are low because Black men are too stupid to support her

MSNBC’s Mehdi Hasan asks if the 2024 election will be free and fair if black people are denied the right to vote

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