As usual, Iowa is turning out to be quite the surprise. Amy Klobuchar is actually turning out to be very popular in some precincts, while DNC favorite Joe Biden is fighting to stay viable in dozens of precincts across the state.
In dozens of precincts, he’s not even close. @JoeBiden was a distant fourth in fundraising going into Iowa. The losing image of his campaign tonight is not going to help. #iowacaucuses #democrats2020 https://t.co/2XBCykDqIk
— David Shuster (@DavidShuster) February 4, 2020
Sanders 76, Klobuchar 75, Buttigieg 70, Warren 59. Biden not viable at 37.
Amy K hitting her mark in an educated suburb, Biden not so much. https://t.co/oYMhgzMFrG
— Patrick Ruffini (@PatrickRuffini) February 4, 2020
Widespread reports of Joe Biden barely/not viable in types of precincts he should be to have any type of chance. Having a hard time seeing him in top three…long way to go.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) February 4, 2020
Biden on verge of not being viable at this Johnston precinct 2 caucus in round one. His supporters seem crushed.
— Michael Barbaro (@mikiebarb) February 4, 2020
— Arnold Slick (@ReidIcculus) February 4, 2020
Update: 54 people@needed to be viable. Biden misses it. He has just 36 https://t.co/RSV4GQXnWA
— Michael Barbaro (@mikiebarb) February 4, 2020
Hearing from other caucus locations that Biden isn’t viable https://t.co/XhCrPjXro6
— Sarah Beckman (@SarahBeckman3) February 4, 2020
Both caucuses just shown on MSNBC had Biden's group virtually invisible compared to large groups for other top 'major' candidates, & clearly unviable at at least one. These need not be representative of geography of state; but ideally a candidate wants to be viable throughout. https://t.co/fElsrDc5rp
— Taniel (@Taniel) February 4, 2020
Recommended
15 minutes on the clock for first alignment.
It looks like only Buttigieg and Sanders are viable as of now
Warren and Biden are short. Everyone going after Steyer supporters and the uncommitted folks.
Yang precinct captain working hard to get a few more over to their side. pic.twitter.com/XoOoiuxQ8Y
— Musadiq Bidar (@Bidar411) February 4, 2020
In precinct after precinct Biden & Buttigieg hover on the edge of viability. If they wind up viable in most of them and Yang is the only significant non-viable, Sanders will win comfortably.
If a larger number go non-viable, Warren will be very close in the final delegate count.
— David Atkins (@DavidOAtkins) February 4, 2020
Wow! Biden not viable here after first count. About 20 shy (needed 40ish)
— David Scrivner (@davidscrivner) February 4, 2020
Klobuchar took Larchwood. The Bernie supporters weren’t viable, so they moved to the Warren campaign. #iacaucus
Larchwood (7 delegates)
Warren: 2
Sanders: not viable
Buttigieg: 1
Klobuchar: 3
Biden: 1Now they’re picking delegates.
— Makenzie Huber (@MakenzieHuber) February 4, 2020
Moore Elementary 1st round
Bernie 47
Buttigieg 23Biden, Warren, Klobuchar NOT viable. #IowaCaucuses pic.twitter.com/Uewkc2Bcgo
— David Lipson (@davidlipson) February 4, 2020
1st alignment
Viable in West Des Moines:
Sanders
Buttigieg
WarrenNot viable in West Des Moines:
Biden
Yang
Steyer
Klobuchar pic.twitter.com/HerWAkGail— Edward-Isaac Dovere (@IsaacDovere) February 4, 2020
At Des Moines precinct # 9, Biden supporters even struggling to hit the 15% threshold to be viable. They need 11 more voters to come over. And they’re almost out of time. #IACaucus
— Robert Moore (@robertmooreitv) February 4, 2020
https://twitter.com/NBCian/status/1224513907605196800
First alignment numbers. And the viability numbers were just corrected, per an official: 289 people are here total and the viability threshold is 44 — making Biden viable by one vote. Sanders, Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg are viable. pic.twitter.com/tyIbzyQa3A
— Holly Otterbein (@hollyotterbein) February 4, 2020
Bernie has a plurality in round 1, but Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Warren are close on his trail. Biden is the only one not viable.
— Daniel Marans (@danielmarans) February 4, 2020
Hearing that at a precinct in Cedar Falls precinct 102 Biden doesn't have enough to be viable
— Lyz Lenz (@lyzl) February 4, 2020
Results from the first ever satellite caucus at @Stanford:
First alignment
Sanders 14
Warren 10
Biden 3
Yang 2
Klobuchar 1Only Sanders and Warren remain "viable".
— The Stanford Daily (@StanfordDaily) February 4, 2020
First report ex Iowa @TheDemocrats caucuses from @nytimes
1 Sanders
2 Klobuchar
3 Buttigieg
4 Warrennot viable it says: Biden https://t.co/gtRdw3ZWnz pic.twitter.com/GGF1FkJHRP
— Will Willitts (@WillWillAFR) February 4, 2020
Correcting location: At this caucus in Johnston, Iowa candidates needed 54 people to remain viable. Totals below:
Warren 59
Klobuchar 75
Biden 37
Buttigieg 70
Yang 33
Steyer 4
Gabbard 3
Sanders 76
Biden, Yang, Steyer, Gabbard all not viable now they’ll need to go to someone else.— Eliza Collins (@elizacollins1) February 4, 2020
These are just a sampling, but right now it looks like Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are comfortable, Pete Buttigieg is right up there, and Amy Klobuchar is doing really well considering her poll numbers. And Biden?
In Des Moines Precinct 47 (East Village – downtown, young), Joe Biden is not viable. Warren and Sanders with the most, Buttigieg should be viable. Yang had more than Biden
— Iowa Starting Line (@IAStartingLine) February 4, 2020
Doctors will make Biden feel comfortable until a decision is made. https://t.co/7nFSjU7njd
— Stephen Miller (@redsteeze) February 4, 2020
Biden is toast
— Chavvy Rachel #VaticanAgent (@RachelH71364724) February 4, 2020
I hope Biden drops out after tonight to be honest.
— Sonia (@SoonerSonia) February 4, 2020
He won’t. It’s early yet … we’ll keep an eye on things.
"I'm tired and I want to go home."
This could literally be the Democrats' 2020 slogan. Zero party energy. https://t.co/FUNPXMlbH5
— Jason Howerton (@jason_howerton) February 4, 2020
* * *
Update:
Ouch.
Bernie crowd versus Biden trio at the YMCA DesMoines #IowaCaucus pic.twitter.com/BIJ3xXtpFn
— Mary Ann Ahern (@MaryAnnAhernNBC) February 4, 2020
Related:
Report: Unreleased Des Moines Register poll puts Bernie Sanders on top, Joe Biden in fourth place https://t.co/OYIZtoG7s7
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) February 4, 2020
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