We have a few new polls out this morning in two must-win states for Donald Trump.
First up, here’s the New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll that shows it all tied up in North Carolina:
North Carolina,
NYT Upshot/ Siena College Poll:Trump 44%
Clinton 44% https://t.co/TCTmLcKwPw— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 7, 2016
And the momentum is with Trump:
A 7 point shift toward Trump since late Oct https://t.co/xrxudpc4LT
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 7, 2016
Not surprisingly, it’s all about Dem turnout…
Upshot poll: Even a modest drop-off in black turnout in North Carolina could represent Clinton’s margin of defeat. https://t.co/LTLoddsJJg pic.twitter.com/8ZvTrSZkOy
— The Upshot (@UpshotNYT) November 7, 2016
…as the GOP has come home:
Trump consolidates the base in NC: now 90% of GOP, up from 80%. 59% of whites, up from 53. Winning white col+ https://t.co/b6K2oygAcz
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 7, 2016
Recommended
Quinnipiac is out with polls in both North Carolina and Florida that show the race “too close to call“:
Quinnipiac Polls:
FLORIDA:
Clinton 46 (+1)
Trump 45
Johnson 2NORTH CAROLINA:
Clinton 47 (+2)
Trump 45
Johnson 3https://t.co/UNOcnhsKcm— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 7, 2016
However, Trump isn’t looking quite as competitive in Quinnipiac’s other battleground state polls:
Quinnipiac University #SwingState Polls in #VA #CO #PA #NC #FL #IA #GA #OH #Election2016 pic.twitter.com/wraKRFO4o7
— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) November 7, 2016
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