Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report is throwing ice cold water all over Amy McGrath’s bid to win Mitch McConnell’s Senate seat in 2020.
“Reality check” time:
Reality check: Amy McGrath ran for House in 2018 (a terrific Dem year) and lost by 3% in #KY06, which went for Trump by 15% in 2016.
Now she’s running w/ basically the same message in a state that went for Trump by *30%.* Folks…
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) July 9, 2019
Wasserman goes on to suggest that McGrath would actually have a better chance running nationally for president:
Having covered her impressive ‘18 performance in a red district, I mean this in all seriousness: Amy McGrath would actually have a better chance at the presidency in ‘20 than #KYSEN.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) July 9, 2019
Nationally, Dem voters/donors love McGrath’s profile (and those of many other ‘18 women whose personal stories dwarf those of the ‘20 prez candidates). Kentucky voters as a whole…not so much.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) July 9, 2019
And it doesn’t matter how much money libs pour into the race:
Folks, there is just no amount of $$$ that is going to elect a Dem to federal office next fall in in a place that voted for Trump by 30%.*
*except maybe Collin Peterson in #MN07 but that’s about it
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) July 9, 2019
Waste those bucks, Dems:
But you know what *is* winnable for Dems in 2020 w/ the right kind of candidate – especially a woman w/ an appealing personal story and zero ties to an unpopular Congress?
A country that voted for Clinton by 2.1%.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) July 9, 2019
And to put this into perspective:
Alabama voted for Trump by 27.7%, the R nominee was an alleged pedophile, Trump wasn't on the ballot and the Dem still only won by 1.7%. https://t.co/ogZnoTnPJb
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) July 9, 2019
Game over.
***
Related:
NBC's Kasie Hunt is psyched for the McConnell/McGrath race in a state Trump won by 30 points in 2016 https://t.co/T0CY0VKm5X
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) July 9, 2019
Amy McGrath (D-Morning Joe) announces challenge against Sen. Mitch McConnell, but she left out one important word from her launch video https://t.co/KoHUC8VJ6n
— Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) July 9, 2019
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