Emerson College poll (Texas): Cruz 29%, Trump 28%, Rubio 25%, Kasich 9%, Carson 4%

Emerson College has a new poll out in Texas that shows the race surprisingly close:

New #Texas #Republican Presidential Primary Poll: @tedcruz– 29%@realDonaldTrump– 28%@marcorubio– 25%@JohnKasich– 9%@RealBenCarson– 4%

— Emerson Polling (@EmersonPolling) February 24, 2016

More from Emerson:

Boston, MA – With less than a week until the Texas GOP presidential primary, Senator Ted Cruz is edging out his two chief rivals, with Cruz having 29% of the vote followed by Donald Trump at 28% and Marco Rubio at 25%, according to an Emerson College tracking poll released today. Ohio’s John Kasich is at 9%, and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson comes in fifth, with 4%.

[…]

Of the three GOP leaders, Rubio is seen most positively, with 64% of likely GOP primary voters rating him favorably compared to 29% who view him unfavorably. Cruz’s rating is 56% favorable to 41% unfavorable. Of all the GOP candidates, Trump is the only one under water with a 45% favorable to 50% unfavorable opinion. Clinton (79% favorable to 20% unfavorable) and Sanders (68% to 27%) are both well regarded by likely Democratic primary voters.

The Real Clear Politics average of polls in Texas, excluding this one from Emerson, paints a different picture:

Could Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio really have moved that much?

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Editor’s note. A typo was corrected in the body of this post.