Pollster Nate Silver doubled down tonight by upgrading his statistical certainty of an Obama win. If you thought a 73% (or 86%) chance of victory was a bit high, get a load of this.
https://twitter.com/aaaaiiiieeee/status/265648102713720832
Why is @fivethirtyeight even holding back? Go all in, man. Show what you're made of. 91% is wussy talk.
— Melissa Mackenzie (@MelissaTweets) November 6, 2012
This idea that Nate Silver thinks Obama has a 91% chance of winning electoral college is hilarious. Even more hilarious he's assuming D+8.
— Aaron Kidd (@akiddwv) November 6, 2012
https://twitter.com/nkummert/status/265646018815737856
Before the Left canonizes St. Nate, it’s important to remember that an Obama win would not prove Silver right. Most people agree that this race is close. Obama might win. Silver’s fallacy is his claim that an Obama loss is highly unlikely.
Silver will be no more right if Obama wins than if he loses, just lucky that he won a reckless gamble.
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