Monica Crowley lists four results of a recently published ABC/Washington Post poll showing former President Donald Trump with a statistical lead on President Joe Biden.
The ABC/WaPo poll showing Trump creaming Biden by 10 pts:— Monica Crowley (@MonicaCrowley) September 24, 2023
- Demolishes the "Trump can't win a general election" lie
- Destroys the "Independents won't vote for Trump" lie
- Will be used by the Left to bounce Biden
- Is sending the election fraudsters into a panic
Such a poll result is politically interesting for several reasons. It is interesting because of the obvious; it shows the incumbent president, a Democrat, trailing a Republican candidate by a substantial margin. It is interesting because of the timing; the second Republican presidential debate is just days away, and the presidential caucus and primary season begins in roughly four months. It is also interesting because of historic polling inaccuracy; polls have unevenly skewed toward Democrats in past presidential cycles. To that end, Mollie Hemingway adds context.
Left-wing ABC News/WashPost poll has Trump up 10 points (!) over Biden. By comparison, ABC/WP poll from September 2019 had Biden up 15 points. The poll tends to dramatically overstate Democrat support ... its final 2020 poll had Biden up 12, for example. pic.twitter.com/rWLqoqZ5kK— Mollie (@MZHemingway) September 24, 2023
This poll result is a big deal. There is no way to fully judge the accuracy of presidential head-to-head polls until after a general election. Yet, a result such as this one has the potential to help frame a general election and contribute to setting the tone of the electorate months before the primary season begins.