A new poll has been released out of New Mexico that has Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson sitting seven points behind Trump and 11 points behind Clinton, the leader in that state.
Clinton 35% (+4)
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 2, 2016
Of course, Johnson was governor of that state, so it is natural that he would poll better there. The intrigue is that it creates a plausible (albeit very unlikely) scenario in which the race could end with no candidate reaching the needed 270 electoral votes.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 2, 2016
Here’s more from Nate Silver:
“Most of the time, Trump would be the beneficiary of a Clinton loss in New Mexico. But the model also assigns Johnson, the Libertarian Party’s presidential nominee, an outside chance — 2 or 3 percent — of winning the state. That could lead to an Electoral College deadlock.”
At this point, who can count any scenario out?