A new study from the Kaiser Family Foundation has found that Republican voters in Sun Belt states embraced absentee voting in 2020 despite telling pollsters months before the election that they would be voting in person:

This suggests “that making voting by mail more difficult could end up hurting Republicans more than they realize”:

More from the study:


The study also found a large number of Hispanic voters sat out 2016 but voted in 2020:

But unlike in 2016, late deciders did not break for Trump :

But they’re still searching for how pollsters got 2020 so, so wrong: