A new poll for the Dallas Morning News has Joe Biden up by 2% over President Trump in Texas:
TEXAS (@dallasnews/UT Tyler): Biden 46%, Trump 44%, Jorgensen 2%, Hawkins 1%
— Politics1.com (@Politics1com) October 25, 2020
It’s +3% with leaners:
TEXAS (@dallasnews/UT Tyler): WITH LEANERS … Biden 48%, Trump 45%, Jorgensen 2%, Hawkins 1%
— Politics1.com (@Politics1com) October 25, 2020
And Nate Silver has the race tied:
Welp. https://t.co/nXOH1SNdLP pic.twitter.com/GKVAzZUWlG
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 25, 2020
And Sen. Kamala Harris will reportedly campaign there next week:
Here we to…@KamalaHarris to TEXAS on Friday, per a Dem briefed
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 25, 2020
Or is it “another Biden trick-play”?
Kamala Harris going to Texas. Could be another Biden trick-play (he bought up advertising space, then puled out) but there have been some significant early vote numbers there.
— (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) October 25, 2020
According to Axios, Team Biden isn’t putting more money into the state:
The Biden campaign is rebuffing persistent pleas from Texas Democrats to spend at least $10 million in the Lone Star state, several people familiar with the talks tell Axios. https://t.co/fP3BMomOkI
— Axios (@axios) October 25, 2020
And former Gov. Rick Perry says President Trump is going to win in Texas:
.@GovernorPerry says Trump won't come to #Texas again despite @dallasnews poll showing Biden ahead 48-45.
"He's going to be in battleground states. Texas is not a battleground state," he tells @by_ethompson. "He's going to carry Texas… rather handily."https://t.co/fDLKgpgzoA
— Todd J. Gillman (@toddgillman) October 25, 2020
Early voting in the state is through the roof:
The unusually large voter turnout in Texas has persisted through the first 10 days of the early voting period, leading experts to predict that the state could reach overall turnout levels unseen so far this century.#tx2020 https://t.co/utcEqhjvce
— Texas Tribune (@TexasTribune) October 23, 2020
And if this can be believed, a large percentage of these early voters are young and have never voted before:
748,973 voters under the age of 30 have already voted in Texas.
66% of them didn't vote in '16.
— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) October 25, 2020
And there’s still “more than a week of voting to go”:
Breathtaking: statewide, Texas just surpassed 80% of its total 2016 votes cast, leading the nation. And there's still more than a week of voting to go.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 25, 2020
So, will Joe Biden himself head to Texas?
A test of Biden‘s confidence/how haunted they are by 2016:
if the early vote does not pick up this week in the Rio Grande Valley, do they send Biden down on the final weekend to appeal to fellow Catholics?
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 25, 2020
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