Ouch. Bad new this morning for Donald Trump as the new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll shows him down 28%-19% to retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson:

And check out Carson’s favorability numbers. Iowans really, really like him:


Evangelicals and women seem to be what’s driving the Carson boomlet:

The poll also found that Trump is the candidate most Iowans want to drop out:

The problem for Trump is that this is the second straight poll that shows Carson in the lead:

And we’ll end it with this history lesson from Jim Geraghty: deep breaths, everyone. This thing ain’t over: