Hillary Clinton takes the debate stage in Las Vegas Wednesday night with a comfortable lead in most polls, but a new poll shows Independent Evan McMullin leading both her and Donald Trump in Utah.
A poll conducted by Emerson College places McMullin at 31 percent of the vote to Trump’s 27 percent. Clinton places a close third at 24 percent.
— ECPS (@EmersonPolling) October 19, 2016
— Team McMullin (@TeamMcMullin) October 19, 2016
Thank you, Utah, for your support and standing for true conservative principles. https://t.co/ChG4ZudX9J
— Evan McMullin (@Evan_McMullin) October 19, 2016
FiveThirtyEight.com last week ran a feature titled, “How Evan McMullin Could Win Utah And The Presidency,” albeit with the subhead, “It’s unlikely, but far from impossible.” It’s most definitely unlikely, but for a third-party candidate who’s been frozen out of the debates to make such a strong showing is pretty remarkable.
Evan McMullin leading in Utah. Would be the first independent to win a state since 1968. (MGR) https://t.co/vi8rKW7qSm
— KU Radio ? (@kuradio) October 19, 2016
It may be time for RCP's Utah line to include McMullin. https://t.co/GS6Kw15BUE
— Dan McLaughlin (@baseballcrank) October 19, 2016
Emerson isn't the most reliable pollster, but it's obvious from all the data that @Evan_McMullin now has a solid chance to win Utah.
— (((AG))) (@AG_Conservative) October 19, 2016
— Brendan Noble (@Brendan_Noble) October 19, 2016
Supposing McMullin does win Utah’s electoral votes; does that necessarily hurt Trump? Who knows, but the implications theoretically could be huge if the election is close enough.
Holy crap jst saw this. I so hope if HRC can't win, McMullen can pull it off Utah: McMullin 31%/Trump 27%/Clinton 24%/Johnson 5% (Emerson)
— Cliff Schecter (@cliffschecter) October 19, 2016
@cliffschecter This won't help HRC. Understand what happens if neither candidate wins 50%+ of the colleges. House pics POTUS.
— Atomic Harbour (@AtomicHarbour) October 19, 2016
— Michael Maddux (@michaeljmaddux) October 19, 2016
On the other hand …
Ironically, if McMullin carries Utah & somehow sends the election to the House, he'll end up making Trump president.
— (((Mark Krikorian))) (@MarkSKrikorian) October 19, 2016
Again, that’s one poll of 700 likely voters that has McMullin with the lead.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 19, 2016
— darth™ (@darth) October 19, 2016