Our friends at the Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk have been assembling an impressive record of calling races, and they’re sounding pretty certain that Republican challenger Dan Sullivan is on his way to victory in Alaska, despite around 30,000‑40,000 absentee votes that have yet to be counted.

Um, would you mind repeating that bit for us? Thanks in advance.

Makes sense. Now let’s have a look at the numbers as they’ve come in through the day.