Pollster Nate Silver doubled down tonight by upgrading his statistical certainty of an Obama win. If you thought a 73% (or 86%) chance of victory was a bit high, get a load of this.

Before the Left canonizes St. Nate, it’s important to remember that an Obama win would not prove Silver right.  Most people agree that this race is close. Obama might win. Silver’s fallacy is his claim that an Obama loss is highly unlikely.

Silver will be no more right if Obama wins than if he loses, just lucky that he won a reckless gamble.