Statistician Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, is calling Saturday a terrible night for Donald Trump, even though early returns suggest he’s pulling second in the handful of states voting, leaving Marco Rubio floundering.
@NateSilver538 We don't even know what the results of Louisiana, Maine and Kentucky are and you're already jumping to that conclusion?
— Natari (@RolleRashad) March 5, 2016
Like most pundits, that’s what Nate Silver does, except he usually gets it right.
It's a BAD night for Rubio too but that's the 3rd-most important story.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 5, 2016
But a strong third most important story https://t.co/Md1qpJwPFz
— Brett LoGiurato (@BrettLoGiurato) March 5, 2016
— Matthew Dowd (@matthewjdowd) March 5, 2016
@NateSilver538 I think that is key. Takes the one GOP establishment guy off the table.
— Lisa M (@ColumbusNYC) March 5, 2016
@NateSilver538 Bad nights for Rubio seem to be the status quo rather than a news story.
— Kris Lipscombe (@halbpro) March 5, 2016
*polishing this up for later tonight* pic.twitter.com/dhXTJnoIRJ
— darth!™ (@darth) March 5, 2016
@darth the 3st is real
— Adam Jacobi (@Adam_Jacobi) March 5, 2016
@darth At least it doesn’t say “Participation”.
— Jonathan Polley (@the_other_jon) March 5, 2016
@NateSilver538 Terrible night for Rubio. Trump could still win Louisiana yet
— Michael Healey (@MikeyHealey92) March 5, 2016
— Ernie Myers (@PastorErnie) March 5, 2016
There’s still Florida, and both Rubio and Trump were there today rallying the voters.
— TN/FL Republican (@Right_4Rubio) March 5, 2016
@NateSilver538 The #1 story I'm interested in is the effect of this on November Dem prospects
— Tony Moore (@tmobsessed) March 5, 2016
@NateSilver538 And for pollsters?
— Gerg (@Gergyl) March 5, 2016
Speaking of pollsters, Frank Luntz, whose focus group declared John Kasich the winner of Thursday’s #GOPDebate, fully agrees that tonight is not Rubio’s night.
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) March 5, 2016
— Rob Beck (@robeck99) March 5, 2016
— Dan Webb (@DWebbVA) March 5, 2016
— Charlie Field (@chasfjr) March 5, 2016