A new poll released today by Time magazine shows President Obama with a 5-point lead in the critical battleground state of Ohio, which has sided with the winner in 27 of the last 29 presidential elections.

To answer your first question: the Time poll of 783 likely voters relies on a D+9 sample. Thirty-seven percent of respondents identified as Democrats, while 28 percent were Republicans and 29 percent Independents.

Oversampling Democrats? Time would like you to know that everybody’s doing it.

Time’s poll takes into account early voters, two-thirds of whom say they have already voted for Obama. Among those who have yet to vote, the race is considered a dead heat; therefore, turnout on Election Day is an important factor.

The Washington Examiner’s Philip Klein notes that Obama does seems to have the edge in the state according to most polls, but Time’s D+9 sample is a bit much to swallow.

If you don’t care for Time’s sample, Public Policy Polling is happy to offer its services for a price.

HuffPo’s political editor has a counteroffer.

  • http://twitter.com/einfal Raphael Gluck ツ

    Time for Time to call Time (on Print and Digital editions)
    Waste of space on the Newstand

  • imme

    Time would actually print a poll like that??

  • Mark L

    Rasmussen has it tied, WITHOUT the Enthusiasm Gap. Romney = Winner.

    • http://www.facebook.com/corey.coombe คอรี่ คุมบ์

      I believe rass has a D+4

  • palinhb

    Tom Jensen of PPP= pussy virgin libtard coward…blocked me on Twitter

    • Brenda Hellwig

      Wouldn’t you if you were called a pussy virgin libtard coward?

      • http://pennyrobinsonfanclub.net/ PennyRobinsonFanClub

        Well yes, but in my case it ISN’T true!

      • palinhb

        Brenda= libtard virgin twat…go jump off a bridge like Tony Scott

  • palinhb

    also Mark Halperin= libtard schmuck

    • Jack Deth

      Hi, palin:

      One must remember that the acorn doesn’t fall far from the tree. Mark is the heathen spawn of Morton Halperin.

      Former under secretary in Clinton’s State Department. Who denied the use of air support and armor during the Army Rangers’ ‘Black Hawk Down’ siege in Mogadishu. It seemed that Mort thought M-113 ACPs and Bradley fast recon/attack vehicles would ‘frighten the locals’.

      Ain’t liberals a scathingly incestuous bunch?

      • palinhb

        lol…don’t know his dad, but yes, Mark Halperin is a libtard schmuck…schmuck is a code word for a certain minority group

  • Belinda Henry

    I say its tied. Otherwise Obama would not be spending all that time there.

  • Jack Deth

    The enthusiasm and projected numbers from 2008 haven’t resurrected themselves and are just not going to happen. Many, many people feel betrayed and are going to get their payback by sitting this election out.

    Judging from the surprising lack of Obama signs and stickers here in solidly Dem, predominantly black P.G. County, MD. That number is going to be just shy of stunning!

    Fortunately, those are on the left. While conservatives are fired up to purge the socialist, strong arm, fascist plague upon this country known as Barack Obama.

  • Owen007

    Someone at TIME must really think Romney is doing well in Ohio.

  • milt1007

    With a +9 oversampling of democrats, Obama is done!

  • D_Vargas

    Meir Spear @ms1818 said “Rasmussen has most accurate polling 04 & 08 & they have OH tied today”

    Rasmussen was not the most accurate in 2008,

    Obama won by 7.3 points, 52.9 to 45.6 percent.
    CNN & Ipsos came closest with a 7-point win, 53/46.
    Rasmussen underestimated Obama with a 6-point win, 52/46.

  • Hashtag_David

    Here’s another POV. Ohio early voting shows a tsunami building… http://www.lancastereaglegazette.com/viewart/20121020/NEWS01/310200012

  • http://twitter.com/DaffodilTimes The Daffodil Times

    Obama will win in a landslide victory

    • palinhb

      yup..Obozo will win in a landslide of losses in swing states…now, drink some antifreeze, dipshit libtard

    • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100002109532283 Jillane Kent

      Such naivety begs the question, “Are you old enough to vote”?

  • CalCon10

    Lots of Obama-cheerleading: “Well, +9 may be a bit much, but Dems still have an edge, Obama is still leading comfortably.” Riiight. When Rasumussen has it tied at +3 Dems, after 2010 was +1.

  • YERMOM182

    +5 D… that extra D is the voting Dead

  • http://twitter.com/endasher Jonathan Liu

    Jesus, what is this website. Can republicans not find tweets on twitter for themselves?