A few more polls to add. But Obama at 91% to win Electoral College based on today's data so far. fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com
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Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) November 06, 2012Pollster Nate Silver doubled down tonight by upgrading his statistical certainty of an Obama win. If you thought a 73% (or 86%) chance of victory was a bit high, get a load of this.
Nate Silver going hog. Switched FL to Obama, now claiming Obama has a 91% chance.—
Michael Bukalo (@aaaaiiiieeee) November 06, 2012
Why is @fivethirtyeight even holding back? Go all in, man. Show what you're made of. 91% is wussy talk.—
Melissa Clouthier (@MelissaTweets) November 06, 2012
This idea that Nate Silver thinks Obama has a 91% chance of winning electoral college is hilarious. Even more hilarious he's assuming D+8.—
Aaron Kidd (@akiddwv) November 06, 2012
geez, nate silver has odds of an Obama win at 91.4 percent. Tomorrow, his credibility is either going to be god-like forever, or go *poof*—
Nick Kummert (@nkummert) November 06, 2012
Before the Left canonizes St. Nate, it’s important to remember that an Obama win would not prove Silver right. Most people agree that this race is close. Obama might win. Silver’s fallacy is his claim that an Obama loss is highly unlikely.
Silver will be no more right if Obama wins than if he loses, just lucky that he won a reckless gamble.