A few more polls to add. But Obama at 91% to win Electoral College based on today's data so far. fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com—
Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) November 06, 2012
Before the Left canonizes St. Nate, it’s important to remember that an Obama win would not prove Silver right. Most people agree that this race is close. Obama might win. Silver’s fallacy is his claim that an Obama loss is highly unlikely.
Silver will be no more right if Obama wins than if he loses, just lucky that he won a reckless gamble.