Molly Ball (@mollyesque) November 01, 2012
While most of the MSM and many pundits obsesses over Ohio and its 18 electoral votes, the Romney campaign is making a strong bid for Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes. The Daily has the scoop:
Mitt Romney is set to make a last-minute campaign stop on Sunday in Pennsylvania, The Daily has learned.
Details are still being determined and with scheduling for the final days of the campaign still fluid, it’s possible Romney could still bypass the state. But two top Pennsylvania Republican officials and a Romney adviser said a large rally in the vote-rich southeastern part of the state is in the works for Sunday. The final decision is likely to be made on Friday.
The coming appearance by Romney would be his first since wrapping up the GOP nomination. It is also one of the most serious signs yet that his campaign views the state, which hasn’t voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988, as winnable. Rep. Paul Ryan is visiting the state on Saturday.
This comes on the heels of a major RNC ad buy in the Keystone state:
Democrats and some MSM reporters say the GOP push to win Pennsylvania smacks of desperation or a “head fake.”
But that assessment strikes savvy observers as spin or wishful thinking:
The fact is, Pennsylvania is very winnable for Romney. Coal and fracking are major issues (both play to Romney’s strengths) and unemployment is above the national average.
A poll by Franklin & Marshall College, released yesterday, has President Obama ahead of Romney among likely voters by 4 points, 49-45. But take a look at the sample:
- Democrat 50%
- Republican: 37%
- Other/Independent: 12%
That’s D+13, which is absurd. Turnout was just D+7 in 2008, according to exit polls.
Does anyone seriously believe Democrats will nearly double their turnout advantage from 2008, when Obama-mania was at its peak?
The Franklin & Marshall poll says Romney is winning Independents by a whopping 16 points (48-32). If Democrats aren’t nervous, they should be.
Twitchy is looking forward to seeing a mustache-less David Axelrod.