WaPo Virginia poll with Obama up 4 is D+8 (was D+6 in 08, R+4 in 04). So yes, if Dems can outdo their 2008 WAVE election in turnout, O wins
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TheRightWing (@teapartiedUSA) October 28, 2012The big news in this poll is not that President Obama is supposedly ahead by 4 points in Virginia, but that the Washington Post has once again foisted a Democrat-skewed sample upon its readership.
Check out the party breakdown:
- Democrat 31%
- Republican 23%
- Independent 36%
- Other/Don’t Know 9%
So this is a D+8 sample. By comparison, the 2008 Virginia exit poll sample, taken when Obama-mania was at its peak, was 39D/33R/27I, or merely D+6.
In other words, the Washington Post poll presumes a political environment in Virginia that is more hospitable to Democrats today than it was in 2008.
Savvy poll-watchers aren’t falling for it:
@JoeNBC WashPo should be embarrassed publishing a VA poll with a D+8 spread. I do hope u take them to task 11/7
washingtonpost.com/politics/polli…—
Tom Lopez (@My2Cents2012) October 28, 2012
.@NumbersMuncher Jeez, not this sh*t again. You have to be INSANE to think VA is D+8 — even worse than 2008. I HATE poll fraud.—
Ken Gardner (@kesgardner) October 28, 2012
@woodhouseb @JoeTrippi WaPo Poll with a D+8 sample? So, we are expecting VA to be 2 points better for Dems than '08? #laughingoutloud—
Jason Kamler (@JKamler) October 28, 2012
WaPo pulled the same stunt last month. And yet we’re told it is conservatives who are embracing an “alternate polling reality.”
We’ll see on November 6th.
