IOWA: Good news. GOP ballots are running about net 3% above where we were at this point in 2004 (53%D v 25%R then...to...52%D v 27%R now).—
Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) October 08, 2012
Democrats have a big edge among early voters, but according to Gray their lead is smaller than it was in 2004, when George W. Bush carried Iowa by 0.7 percentage points.
Rasmussen’s last Iowa poll, conducted on September 19, 2012, had GOP nominee Mitt Romney running three points ahead of President Barack Obama.