Todd Akin has until Tuesday Aug. 21 to drop out of U.S. Senate race?; Update: Or is it Sept. 25?

In the wake of Rep. Todd Akin’s “legitimate rape” comments, some Republicans are urging Akin to step aside for another Republican candidate.

One of those calling on Akin to step down is Patrick Ruffini, a GOP strategist.

Ruffini says that Akin can withdraw from the race prior to Tuesday August 21st at 5:00 p.m.

His analysis is based on Section 115.359.1 of the Missouri Revised Statutes:

115.359. 1. Any person who has filed a declaration of candidacy for nomination and who wishes to withdraw as a candidate shall, not later than the eleventh Tuesday prior to the primary election, file a written, sworn statement of withdrawal in the office of the official who accepted such candidate’s declaration of candidacy. Any person nominated for an office who wishes to withdraw as a candidate shall, not later than the eleventh Tuesday prior to the general election, file a written, sworn statement of withdrawal in the office of the official who accepted such candidate’s declaration of candidacy. In addition, any person who has filed a declaration of candidacy for nomination or who is nominated for an office who wishes to withdraw as a candidate due to being named as the party candidate for a different office by a party nominating committee pursuant to sections 115.363 to 115.377 may withdraw as a candidate no later than 5:00 p.m. on the fifth day after being named as the party candidate for a different office by the party nominating committee.

Conservatives are split as to whether Akin should withdraw (see, e.g., here and here).

Meanwhile, polling analyst Nate Silver is estimating that Akin’s remarks will result in a 10-point shift in the polls:

If Mr. Akin lost a net of 10 points in the polls to Ms. McCaskill because of the remark, he would be trailing her by five points in surveys rather than leading her by about that margin.

It can be easy to overrate the importance of scandals in the first few days after they occur. Many voters will vote along party lines almost no matter what, and others will decide based on factors like the economy or an incumbent senator’s voting record.

Nevertheless, my view is that insensitive comments concerning rape are especially likely to be deemed inexcusable by voters, and that the swing against Mr. Akin could be larger than the average of 10 percentage points from similar events.

Update:

Apparently there is also a withdrawal deadline in September.

https://twitter.com/chucktodd/statuses/237526058080034817

Twitchy will update with details as they become available.

Previously:

Oh my: Missouri GOP Senate nominee says victims of ‘legitimate rape’ don’t get pregnant; Update: ‘A Torricelli situation’?

Some Republicans say Rep. Todd Akin should step down

Dana Loesch: Stop overreacting to Todd Akin’s comments

Democrat math: Todd Akin = Paul Ryan

Twitter Lynch Mob calls for rape of Rep. Todd Akin

Meghan McCain decries Todd Akin remarks, predicts world will end

Romney-Ryan campaign: ‘We disagree with Mr. Akin’s statement’

Celebrities unhappy with Todd Akin’s ‘legitimate rape’ comments

Rep. Todd Akin: ‘I misspoke’; Update: Akin concedes that rape can result in pregnancy

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